Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Magic 8th win for the People

by Renal Failure

Kneel before Zod... and Cam Newton's 28-point Monday night!

Your People's Champion claimed a come-from-behind victory over Delusions of Adequacy 111-99, thanks to Cam Newton's performance.  Delusion was up 91-82, but only had Kicker Steve Gostkowski to counter our yet-to-play QB.  The nine-point edge wasn't enough, and Renal Failure earns an important 8th win of the season with 3 left to play.

One more win earns the People a playoff berth, as Troi's Ex-Cons claimed a spot with their victory over Gerrog's Ninjas. And the schedule is in the People's favor for getting at least one more victory, as Renal Failure faces 4-6-1 Kerridan's Okay Team in Week 12, 5-6 Bald Spots, and 3-8 Gerrog's Ninjas - all teams that Renal Failure has beaten already.

Renal Failure loves knocking people out... of the playoff picture!

Mathematically-speaking everyone's still in the playoff hunt, but realistically we're pretty sure 6 wins will not get you that last playoff spot so Ninjas and NoNames are out.  7 wins gives you a remote possibility - and being 7-6-1 gives you a better chance - so Kerridan needs to win out his remaining games and hope that two other teams don't reach 8 wins.  This means Renal Failure has the opportunity to crush Kerridan's playoff dreams with a win in Week 12. There might be some difficulty getting that win though because the NFL's leading rusher and steady Renal Failure bear-chucker LeSean McCoy is on a bye week.  Luckily the People get Zac Stacy back in the Renal Failure lineup and he's likely to put up huge numbers vs. the Bears.

If Kerridan wants to stay in the playoff conversation, he'll need big weeks out Jamaal Charles, Andre Johnson, and Rob Gronkowski to carry his lineup.  Ben Roethlisberger had a huge bear-in-deep-space Week 11, but can he do it two weeks in a row? Doubtful.

The last couple weeks of the regular season can be exciting... yet BRUTAL!

Yahoo! likes our chances of winning this week, and we're cool with our chances too. Winning out the season would give us 11 wins, but probably not first place. Future Ex-Cons is a game up on us, is way ahead on points scored, and their final three games are against 4-7 Purple Drank, 6-5 Bourbon Blasters, and 3-8 NoNames.  They're unlikely to lose two or all three of those games.  But for Purple Drank, a win keeps their slim playoff hopes alive for another week, and would certainly provide them with confidence vs. Predator Press and Delusion in Weeks 13 and 14.

Delusion at 5-5-1 is the wild card danger team because if they win out they're almost assured to get that last playoff spot even if another team reaches 8 wins, thanks to their Week 10 tie with Kerridan. 8-5-1 is how Renal Failure snuck into the playoffs in 2011, which lead to an appearance in the Humor Bowl in Week 16.  Even 7-6-1 spells trouble for other teams - that's the record that got Purple Drank into the playoffs last season.  Never trust teams with ties.

Bald Spots can get to 8 wins if they win out.  They just need to beat Delusion this week, the People's Champ the following week, and Kerridan in the finale. The good news for them is that if it comes down to a tiebreaker, either at 7 or 8 wins, they're in a competitive position with points scored.

PredPress only needs one win to reach 8, and will probably get it vs. Gerrog this week, or possibly Purple Drank the next.  They don't want to have a must-win game vs. Bourbon Blasters in Week 14. Drew Brees ain't screwing around. And if a 7-win log jam occurs, the tie-breaker bodes well for them in the points scored department.

Speaking of the Blasters, at 6-5 they only need 2 wins to get to the Magic 8th win, but their schedule is tough.  Yes, they're up against the 7-game losing streak-owning NoNames this week, but they draw first place Ex-Cons then 3rd place PredPress to end the season. The Blasters losing is key to creating a 7-win jam for the last playoff spot.  

It's going to be an exciting end to the 2013 HBFFL regular season - except for NoNames and Gerrog.  Sorry dudes.  It hurts. We've been there. It happens. 

1 comment:

Michael Wolfe said...

This is, every year without fail, ALWAYS my favorite post on the HBFFL: RF's Playoff Breakdown.

-Coincidentally, this day is also circled on my calendar "Repent and Find Jesus."